A Comparison of Yields On Futures Contraets and Implied Forward Rates

نویسنده

  • RICHARD W. LANG
چکیده

~t1JNCE the introduction of futures trading in 3-month Treasury bills in 1976, yields on these futures contracts have been examined for clues as to market expectations of the future course of interest rates. Although there are difficulties in isolating these expectations, the yields on futures contracts do embody information about market expectations of future interest rates.’ However, similar information is also embodied in the forward rates of interest that are implicit in the spot market yield curve.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Estimating the Volatility Structure of an Arbitrage-free Interest Rate Model via the Futures Markets

This paper considers a class of Heath-Jarrow-Morton (1992) term structure models, characterized by time deterministic volatilities for the instantaneous forward rate. The bias that arises from using observed futures yields as a proxy for the unobserved instantaneous forward rate is analyzed. The fact that futures contracts can be viewed as derivative instruments on the forward rate is used to d...

متن کامل

Convenience Yields and Options Value of Exchanging different- maturity Futures Contracts Implied from Emissions Allowances Futures Market

Our results find that futures contracts with different maturities for emissions allowances exhibit a significant cointegration relationship by using two-step EG model, similar market information has a convergent effect on prices spreads of futures contracts with different maturities. Convenience yields implied from the futures markets exhibit a significant options property. Convenience yields a...

متن کامل

An Empirical Examination of the Convexity Bias in the Pricing of Interest Rate Swaps@

This paper examines the convexity bias introduced by pricing interest rate swaps off the Eurocurrency futures curve and the market's adjustment of this bias in prices over time. The convexity bias arises because of the difference between a futures contract and a forward contract on interest rates, since the payoff to the latter is non-linear in interest rates. Using daily data from 1987-1996, t...

متن کامل

A Maximum Likelihood Approach to Estimation of a Class of the Heath-jarrow-morton Model

Research on the Heath-Jarrow-Morton (1992) term structure models so far has focused on the class having time-deterministic instantaneous forward rate volatility. In this case the forward rate process is Markovian, even if the spot rate process is not. However, this Markovian feature can only be used under the historical measure, involving two unsatisfactory assumptions: one involving the market...

متن کامل

Spot, Forward, and Futures Libor Rates

The properties of forward and futures interest-rate contracts associated with a given collection of reset dates are studied within the frameworks of the Gaussian HJM model and the lognormal model of Libor rates. We focus on the dynamics and distributional properties of spot, forward, and futures Libor rates under spot and forward martingale measures.

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2003